UBP-NC4 · GCE Research Console

Section 01

GCE Formation Database

Repo: File: Token:

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Total Records

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Usable

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G1+ in 3d

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G2+ in 3d

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Year Span

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Hoax Flagged

2025–2026 Data Status

The 2025 season data (12 confirmed formations from Temporary Temples) and 2 x 2026 formations are now in the system as new_records_2025_2026.csv. Key solar finding: G4 storm (Kp=8) confirmed May 31–June 1, 2025 — largest storm of the season. F10.7 = 169 sfu. Associated with the June 8 (Avebury 10-fold star) and June 10 (Stonehenge joker) formations via the 7-day pre-window. The 3-day strict window is a tension case for those events. Solar declination for June 22–23 formations: 23.45° — peak summer solstice. See Analysis and Solar Angle tabs.

Filter:

Year	Date	Location	County	Crop	Type	Diam.	Kp	Kp 7d↑	G1+	G2+	G3+	Dec°	SSN	Dst	Hoax	DQ	Img	Actions

[GCE Console] Ready. Click "Load from GitHub" or upload a local CSV.

Section 02

Formation Image Catalog

Images

Images are stored as URLs in the image_url field of each database record. Edit any record in the Database tab to add an image URL. For 2025 formations, source URLs from Temporary Temples, Crop Circle Connector, and Crop Circles from Above are already populated. Add aerial photo URLs as you find them. Use the lightbox (click any card) to view details alongside solar data.

Section 03

Live Solar Data — NOAA SWPC

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GOES X-Ray Class

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Kp Est. (live)

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Solar Wind km/s

SC25 Declining

F10.7 ~120 sfu · May 2026

7-DAY GOES X-RAY FLUX (LOGARITHMIC) — LIVE FROM NOAA

Time UTC	Flux Class	Flux W/m²	Kp Est.	UBP SMW	G-Level	→ DB

[SOLAR] Note: NOAA APIs are CORS-enabled and work from GitHub Pages. Local file:// may be blocked by browser CORS policy.

Key Confirmed 2025 Solar Events

May 30–31, 2025: M8-class flare peaks 00:05 UTC May 31. Earth-directed CME launched.
June 1, 2025: CME impact — G4 storm (Kp=8) from ~12:00 UTC. Auroras from Spain to Florida. Continued through June 3.
June 2–3, 2025: G3 (Kp=7) continued. Kp avg 7.67 over June 1–3. F10.7=169 sfu.
November 11, 2025: G-storm visible from Alabama/Florida. Aurora visible from UK.
For historical Kp data: GFZ Potsdam ↗ | SpaceWeatherLive ↗

Section 04

UBP-NC4 Correlation Analysis

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Records Analysed

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G1+ 3d Rate

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Mean Kp Day-Of

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Mean Kp 7d Pre-Max

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Mean Solar Dec °

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Mean Dst Min (nT)

G-STORM PRESENCE IN 3-DAY WINDOW

KP DISTRIBUTION — FORMATION DAYS

FORMATION COUNT BY YEAR vs SSN

FORMATION MONTH DISTRIBUTION

Correlation Metrics

High-Significance Cases (G2+ in 3d Window, Not Hoax)

Year	Date	Location	County	Crop	Kp Day	Kp 7d↑	G1	G2	G3	Dec°	Dst	SSN

Section 05

3-Day Window Hypothesis

Hypothesis

Geomagnetic storms (G1+, Kp≥5) arriving at Earth 1–3 days after a solar event produce the coupling conditions required for formation. The solar_in_G1_window_3d field encodes whether any G1+ storm occurred within 3 days before or on the formation date. Key 2025 finding: the G4 storm (Kp=8) of May 31–June 1 was outside the strict 3-day window for the June 8 (Avebury) and June 10 (Stonehenge) formations but within the 7-day pre-window. This is a tension case requiring expansion of the window definition or confirmation of a closer minor event.

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G1+ (3d)

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G2+ (3d)

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G3+ (3d)

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No Storm

FORMATION COUNT BY G-STORM LEVEL

PRE-7d MAX Kp — WITH vs WITHOUT G-STORM

Window Statistical Summary

Year	Date	Location	Crop	Type	Kp Day	Kp 7d↑	G1	G2	G3	Dst Min	Dec°	SSN

Section 06

Solar Angle / Declination Analysis

Earth-Sun Angle Hypothesis

Solar declination ranges from −23.4° (winter solstice) to +23.4° (summer solstice). The 2025 season produced notable formations at peak declination — Hackpen Hill (June 22) and Charlton (June 23) both appeared at 23.45° — the solstice maximum. If the solar coupling mechanism is angle-dependent (e.g., perpendicular solar wind coupling to the UK latitude, or maximum ionospheric charging at summer solstice), formations should cluster at high declination values above what crop availability alone predicts. The Avebury complex sits at 51.4°N — at summer solstice, solar elevation at noon peaks at 62°, maximising direct illumination of the chalk geology.

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Peak Dec Bin

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Mean Dec °

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Mean Dec — G1+

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Mean Dec — No Storm

FORMATIONS BY SOLAR DECLINATION (5° BINS)

SOLAR DECLINATION vs KP (SCATTER)

FORMATION POSITIONS ON SOLAR DECLINATION CURVE (DOY)

Solar Angle Statistical Summary

Seasonal Confound

UK wheat: May–Aug (dec +15° to +23.4° to +16°). OSR: April–June (+5° to +23.4°). Formation clustering at high declination is partly explained by crop availability. To test the angle hypothesis rigorously: compare formation-day declination distribution against all crop-present-day declination distribution for the same year range. This control dataset does not yet exist. It is the next data acquisition target.

Section 07

BWallSelf Decode Engine

Solar Event Input

Flare Class

AR Classification

Kp Max (window)

CME

Crop Season

Solar Dec (°)

Peak UTC

AR Name

Enter parameters → Run Decode

Solar Message Weight Breakdown

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Prediction Log

Logged UTC	AR	SMW	Geometry	Pt.Group	Site	Window	Dec°	Outcome

Section 08

Report Generator

Select a report type above.

Section 09

Research Documentation — Hypothesis, Findings, Methods, Tensions

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Section 10

Geomagnetic Substrate Charge Index (SCI)

What This Shows

The Substrate Charge Index (SCI) models the current geomagnetic charge state of each known UK GCE site using the RC circuit battery model. Solar input (Kp, X-ray flux, solar wind, Bz) accumulated over the past 7 days is run through each site's capacitance function to produce a real-time charge percentage. When a site crosses its discharge threshold (~100%) and a trigger event arrives (CH HSS pressure front, Bz southward flip, minor Kp pulse), a GCE formation becomes possible. This is not a prediction of a formation — it is a readiness indicator. Human circlemakers can also produce formations at any charge level.

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Max Site Charge %

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Sites on Watch (>60%)

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Sites on Alert (>85%)

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Live Kp (NOAA)

Click Refresh Now or enable Auto to load live solar data from NOAA.

7-DAY SOLAR INPUT LOG (used to compute current charge state)

Date UTC	X-Ray Peak	Kp Est.	q_kp	q_bz	q_xray	q_f107	q_ch_hss	dQ Total	Dominant

MODEL EXPLANATION

RC Circuit Analogy

Each GCE site behaves like a capacitor in an RC circuit. Solar electromagnetic input charges the capacitor (adds to Q). The site's geology and monument anchor determine the capacitance (C_site) — chalk aquifers with monument anchors hold more charge for longer. The RC time constant τ = C × R sets how quickly charge naturally decays.

High-τ sites (Avebury, τ≈2.8d) hold a G4 storm charge for a week. Low-τ sites (Devon, τ≈2.4d) discharge within 2 days of a storm. The 3-day window that appears in the database statistics is an artefact of the most common τ class — not a physical constant.

Charge Components (dQ per day)

q_kp = (Kp/9)² × 3.0 geomagnetic storm energy

q_bz = Bz_south_hrs × 0.08 gate-open time

q_xray = flare_class_norm X-ray flux (M5=1.0)

q_f107 = (F10.7 − 70) / 100 background UV/EUV

q_ch_hss = 1.5 × SW_excess coronal hole HSS

q_dst = |Dst_min| / 100 ring current energy

Q(t+1) = (Q(t) + dQ) × e^−dt/τ

Data Limitations

Live Bz southward hours, solar wind speed, and F10.7 are estimated from GOES X-ray flux and Kp — the full set of NOAA parameters requires additional API calls. Actual site soil moisture, water table depth, and real-time geological conductivity are not measured. This is a research-grade estimate, not a geophysical instrument reading. Treat all charge percentages as indicative of relative solar loading, not absolute physical quantities.